Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.082412 0.095213 0.109343 0.126096 0.145423 0.167023 0.193005
2026-01-11 0.062820 0.080160 0.101257 0.128821 0.163906 0.207111 0.264431
2026-01-18 0.051588 0.070569 0.095291 0.129862 0.177008 0.239147 0.327446
2026-01-25 0.043104 0.062400 0.088965 0.128229 0.184871 0.263776 0.382360
2026-02-01 0.036096 0.054880 0.082010 0.124079 0.187792 0.280901 0.427793
2026-02-08 0.032222 0.051186 0.079777 0.126056 0.199263 0.310935 0.494941
2026-02-15 0.028753 0.047539 0.076995 0.126577 0.208189 0.337653 0.559615
2026-02-22 0.026114 0.044804 0.075189 0.128226 0.218794 0.367768 0.632747
2026-03-01 0.023105 0.041035 0.071190 0.125638 0.221870 0.385611 0.687047
2026-03-08 0.020649 0.037890 0.067823 0.123627 0.225505 0.404479 0.744822
2026-03-15 0.019032 0.036020 0.066422 0.124846 0.234844 0.434031 0.824672
2026-03-22 0.018229 0.035534 0.067412 0.130477 0.252754 0.480683 0.941056
2026-03-29 0.017149 0.034428 0.067188 0.133898 0.267092 0.522642 1.054193
2026-04-05 0.016098 0.033258 0.066717 0.136793 0.280757 0.564845 1.172901
2026-04-12 0.014960 0.031771 0.065442 0.137898 0.290893 0.601068 1.283483
2026-04-19 0.013659 0.029787 0.062940 0.136165 0.294925 0.625277 1.371617
2026-04-26 0.012253 0.027416 0.059373 0.131758 0.292753 0.636283 1.432539
2026-05-03 0.011566 0.026530 0.058847 0.133857 0.304882 0.678842 1.567491
2026-05-10 0.010815 0.025413 0.057691 0.134410 0.313592 0.714780 1.691451
2026-05-17 0.010223 0.024591 0.057097 0.136161 0.325185 0.758263 1.837618
2026-05-24 0.009365 0.023046 0.054694 0.133413 0.325936 0.777001 1.927140
2026-05-31 0.008630 0.021714 0.052644 0.131277 0.327896 0.798715 2.026255
2026-06-07 0.008173 0.021017 0.052029 0.132572 0.338381 0.841836 2.183390